Want create site? Find Free WordPress Themes and plugins.

2017 Free Agent Preview (OTT to STL)

As the 2016-17 NHL season concludes and NHL fans prepare for the opening of free agency Money Puck Systems wants to take the opportunity to review the most important free agents for each franchise and give fans our best guess as to what these players are worth and what they will actually get (obviously not the same thing all the time!).

Ottawa Senators

The Ottawa Senators have a number of free agents coming due July 1st including Pageau, Pyatt, Dzingel and Stalberg. Of the group we expect Jean-Gabriel Pageau will probably earn (and deserve) the biggest contract. Based on his scoring rates for the last 3 years (including that 43 point season in 2015-16) we’ve got him worth $4.1M. Given his RFA status though and the fact he did back to 33 points last season we expect he’ll settle for a little less. The next most valuable player we had was Tom Pyatt. We have a value of $3.0M for him and of course he just signed a 2 year deal for $2.2M. We would have expected a discount for the player but nonetheless it’s a good signing for Ottawa.

Another RFA, Ryan Dzingel, is also due for a new contract and we’ve got his current ice time and performance worth $2.9M/season. That said, he’ll almost certainly take less as well so expect something in the low $2 million range. The last player we’ll look at for the Senators is Viktor Stalberg. The 31 year old is coming off a $1.5 million deal and we actually think he’s worth more like $2.5 million. Of course in this part of the market players typically get less so we’d expect something just under $2.0 million.

Player MPS Value Expected Value Expected Term
Jean-Gabriel Pageau $4.1M $3.5M 4 years
Tom Pyatt $3.0M Signed for $2.2M 2 years
Ryan Dzingel $2.9M $2.3M 4 years
Viktor Stalberg $2.5M $1.9M 2 years

Philadelphia Flyers

After a Calder trophy winning rookie season the Flyers will have their work cut out for them re-signing Shayne Gostisbehere this offseason. It’ll be somewhat interesting for Gostisbehere because his rates did drop in his sophomore season (39 points in 76 games from 46 points in 64 games) but nonetheless we have Gostisbehere worth $6.7M/season on a 6 year term. As he’s an RFA though and his numbers did slip a little we suspect the Flyers will be able to get him closer to $5.5M/year. Another pretty valuable defenceman coming due July 1st is Michael Del Zotto. He’s coming off a $3.875 million deal and we have his current value at $5.2 million/season. His injury history might hold him back from that number however and should he managed to string together a few healthy seasons he should be a good bargain for someone.

Next for the Flyers we have Jordan Weal. He also hasn’t managed to play a lot in the last few seasons (although he put together 66 games between the NHL and AHL last year) however when he has played his scoring rates have been good. So despite the small sample size we’d have a value of $2.4 million on the 25 year old and it’ll be interesting to see how much teams value his potential and if he’ll actually get this or more. The last Flyers player we’ll talk about is Chris VandeVelde. The veteran earned only $700K last year and despite his depth role we had his value at $2.2 million. The market however is unlikely to be that kind and we’d expect him to earn something around $1.0 million again.

Player MPS Value Expected Value Expected Term
Shayne Gostisbehere $6.7M $5.5M 6 years
Michael Del Zotto $5.2M $4.5M 4 years
Jordan Weal $2.4M $2.0M 3 years
Chris VandeVelde $2.2M $1.0M 2 years

Pittsburgh Penguins

After winning their second straight Stanley Cup the Penguins should have a much more challenging offseason this time around. The most challenging situation will probably the new contract for 25 year old Conor Sheary. Sheary had a break out season this year scoring 53 points in only 61 games while spending a lot of time with Sidney Crosby. The problem for Pittsburgh is that those scoring rates justify a pretty big price tag, in our opinion $5.5 million/year, but how much was “The Crosby Effect” and how big of a discount can you negotiate. We’re definitely expecting him to take some form of discount but how much is an interesting question. Next on the list is Trevor Daley, Daley scores more than we thought and is actually worth about $4.8M/year. He’s coming off a $3.3M deal though and we suspect that will be an anchor to future negotiations so we expect him to take less.

Next on the list is RFA (can he really still be an RFA?), Justin Schultz. Schultz finally seems to have found his place with the Penguins playing more of a 3rd pairing role with a bunch of time as a power play specialist. This power play time in particular helped catapult his point totals this year to 51 and with it his value. For us that means he’s now worth almost $5M/season but given the baggage expect a discount here as well. Another player due for a raise is Nick Bonino. Bonino is coming a $1.9M/year deal and in our view is worth $4.4M/year on a new deal. As a 29 year UFA he’s one of the few players likely to come close to this price point. Lastly we have 39 year old Mark Streit. Streit still puts up some points (27 points in 68 games) and that has value. In fact, we have his value at $4.2M still although with his age we expect he’ll take a little less on a 1 year contract if he wants to keep playing.

Player MPS Value Expected Value Expected Term
Conor Sheary $5.5M $4.0M 3 years
Trevor Daley $4.8M $3.5M 2 years
Justin Schultz $4.8M $3.5M 2 years
Nick Bonino $4.4M $3.8M 4 years
Mark Streit $4.2M $3.5M 1 year

San Jose Sharks

After what had to be a disappointing season last year that ended with an exit in the 1st round the San Jose Sharks now have two 37 year old potential hall of famers entering free agency. While ‘Jumbo Joe’ has typically put up more points and been a more valuable piece the tables turned last season with Patrick Marleau earning a value of $4.8M to Thornton’s $4.5M. They’re both coming off contracts that are worth nearly $7M/season though so it’ll be interesting what they’re willing to take on their next deals and who might be interested in their services. Should they be willing to accept contracts in the mid $4 million range though we suspect they might even get 2 year deals. Outside of the two veterans, Chris Tierney is also coming due on July 1st. The 22 year old RFA is worth $2.8M at this point in his career but we expect San Jose will manage to get a deal on that one.

Player MPS Value Expected Value Expected Term
Patrick Marleau $4.8M $5.0M 1 year
Joe Thornton $4.5M $5.0M 1 year
Chris Tierney $2.8M $2.0M 2 years

St. Louis Blues

For the St. Louis Blues they must have one big priority this offseason – Colton Parayko. While Parayko may not have got first overall in his draft year like Nail Yakupov we’re not shy in saying Parayko is the much more valuable player at this point. In fact, based on Parayko’s performance we’ve got the RFA worth $6M/season on a 6 year contract. Given his RFA status the Blues might be able to keep him just under that but his star power will likely make that a challenge. As far as the aforementioned first overall pick from 2012 he’s really not worth much at this point. His scoring rates are abysmal for a player of his pedigree and we only have him worth $1.8M/season. Of course someone will take a chance on this reclamation project but unless he dramatically turns things around it will probably be wasted. The only other player we’ll mention for the Blues is Scottie Upshall. He’s coming off a $900K deal and he actually contributed $2.2 million in value last year. At that level though teams are typically underpaying players and we expect Upshall to get a raise but not much.

Player MPS Value Expected Value Expected Term
Colton Parayko $6.0M $5.5M 6 years
Nail Yakupov $1.8M $1.5M 1 year
Scottie Upshall $2.2M $1.2M 2 years
Did you find apk for android? You can find new Free Android Games and apps.
2017 Free Agent Preview (OTT to STL)

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *